The first guest speaker was Dr. Scott Anderson PhD, Senior Economist at Wells Fargo Bank, based in Minneapolis. His words about the state of our nation's economy and what that means for real estate on a national level didn't exactly bring smiles and fist-pumping enthusiasm to the room of about 75 real estate, mortgage, and mobility professionals. A few brief highlights from his speech:
- The housing market will continue to underwhelm in the foreseeable future
- We are enduring one of the worst recessions since the Great Depression
- Overall loss of wealth during this 2.5 year period is $17 trillion, representing 20 years worth of savings
- 14% of mortgage holders are not making their payments
- The Chicago Mercantile Exchange is predicting national declines of 5% in housing prices
- The pipeline of foreclosure properties is still filling
- We currently have the highest federal deficit since World War II
- A national sales tax could be coming, as well as cut backs in Social Security
- Corporate profits always lead job growth ... and they are now above pre-recession levels
- In Q2 2010 business spending grew 25%, which is not sustainable, but some measure of double-digit growth IS
- 1.5-2.5% growth in the national economy is predicted for 2011; when this number goes over 3% it will be enough to have a meaningful impact unemployment
Pam Metzger Director of Relocation, Business Development and Finance
Colorado Landmark, Realtors
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